Monday, September 8, 2008

Short USD/CAD @ 106.79

Same trade as earlier, same reason.  We're seeing some resistance in the 107. area...USD rallied against all other pairs while CAD held the line.  I believe the CAD is a bit oversold here and the 107 mark is about the 68% fib of the March07-Nov07 decline.

I'm also keeping an eye on the daily as we do have a bit of an uptrend going...but as long as the 107 top stays in place, I think we should at least see a good 100-120pip move downwards to the 105.5 level.

I will look to close this position early if we get a daily close over the 107. level.

Pictured is the daily & hourly.  Unfortunately, this is more of an hourly play but using the fact that the daily hasn't closed above the 107 level.  Usually, I would rather have the entire play based on daily charting and only use the hourly for specific entry/exit...but for this trade, the hourly charts will be more involved.



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